Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1244.464810 1414.331881 1603.123323 1829.252095 2093.713057 2394.380161 2763.736023
2025-09-14 952.397679 1167.323079 1428.482082 1772.162964 2216.946667 2779.186559 3553.350083
2025-09-21 791.735893 1018.698743 1310.960303 1720.448763 2288.296759 3061.360831 4216.981096
2025-09-28 676.507915 903.630898 1209.585245 1660.018685 2320.305785 3275.519788 4805.169681
2025-10-05 626.386378 865.889714 1202.236024 1720.919001 2522.465506 3752.174664 5859.708895
2025-10-12 576.930822 821.210441 1176.745736 1747.580880 2671.735862 4166.079836 6890.772089
2025-10-19 533.325843 779.034911 1148.192904 1762.779007 2800.797179 4562.688999 7967.552956
2025-10-26 495.877367 741.476076 1121.278403 1774.987732 2923.361569 4963.588162 9131.813228
2025-11-02 471.485520 721.220345 1118.470193 1825.036887 3115.902012 5517.456764 10712.095532
2025-11-09 445.696219 695.857051 1104.058267 1852.172238 3269.214928 6021.291713 12304.960328
2025-11-16 421.106624 669.936936 1085.631670 1869.007230 3404.065450 6509.647360 13980.388708
2025-11-23 399.764310 647.392810 1070.429992 1889.203470 3547.122885 7037.856193 15881.253437
2025-11-30 381.950203 630.029984 1063.795405 1927.127767 3736.941951 7713.592731 18370.338632
2025-12-07 352.015580 588.984374 1010.868995 1869.129351 3718.236317 7921.909029 19711.266683
2025-12-14 325.662496 552.172446 962.298258 1813.983404 3697.124359 8119.765940 21081.663667
2025-12-21 300.781853 516.125641 912.026754 1749.699018 3646.343457 8236.545485 22254.689928
2025-12-28 293.689690 512.339358 922.890902 1814.487973 3901.594241 9172.428113 26250.023148
2026-01-04 282.900312 500.676589 917.218851 1842.860185 4074.843813 9931.660642 29962.369501
2026-01-11 271.628874 487.189598 906.645689 1859.035348 4220.638424 10647.992668 33810.745404
2026-01-18 260.886047 473.907320 895.286472 1872.030026 4360.484422 11379.163577 38020.597546
2026-01-25 254.695759 469.139461 901.046568 1925.311223 4614.637614 12510.416856 44311.468885
2026-02-01 246.643732 460.010311 896.776540 1954.205579 4808.017172 13502.662998 50522.421279
2026-02-08 238.168314 449.399756 888.406060 1972.134198 4974.131292 14449.983966 57034.460836